Ever worried about rising gas prices?
Ever worried about rising gas prices?
Imagine you're planning a cross-country road trip and gas prices are unpredictable.
A forward contract lets you lock in today's price for gas, so you don't have to worry about paying more later.
Example
You agree to buy gas at 3 per gallon next month, even though it's currently 2.50 per gallon.
Remember this
A forward contract protects you from future price hikes.
Text adapted from Wikipedia, licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0.
implied volatility tells you
Implied volatility (IV) = option price / Black–Scholes model
Volatility smile
Implied volatility varies with strike price, contradicting Black-Scholes
the disposition effect causes
Investors sell winners too early and hold losers too long
Black–Scholes model
How can you predict the price of an option?
Anchoring effect
Anchoring bias skews sell decisions based on initial purchase price
Vega
Vega is the fifth-brightest star in the night sky
Educational content, not financial advice.
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