
Ever wondered how doctors decide if a test really finds cancer?
Ever wondered how doctors decide if a test really finds cancer?
Imagine you're at a doctor's office, and they give you a new test for cancer. You want to know if it's good at finding real cases without raising too many false alarms.
Picture a graph where the left side shows how well the test catches cancer (like spotting all the real cases), and the right side shows how many healthy people it wrongly flags as having cancer. The better the test, the higher the area above this graph.
Example
If the test catches 90% of real cancer cases but also flags 10% of healthy people, the graph's area above it shows its effectiveness.
Remember this
The Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC-ROC) measures how well a test can distinguish between real cases and false alarms.
Text adapted from Wikipedia, licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0.
to use AUC-ROC: comparing classifiers across all thresholds
Why can't we always trust a yes-or-no answer?
MAP (mean average precision) measures: area under the precision-recall curve averaged across queries
MAP measures the area under the precision-recall curve averaged across queries
Bayesian inference
Ever wondered how doctors update diagnoses as new symptoms arise?
NDCG measures: ranking quality with graded relevance scores
NDCG measures ranking quality with graded relevance scores
denoising score matching does: learns to denoise, which equals learning the score
Propensity score matching (PSM) reduces bias in treatment effect estimates
to normalize features: when features have different scales and you use distance-based methods
Why do some things need to be adjusted to compare fairly?
Swipe through 100 ML concepts daily
Open Pocket Polymath