Expected Calibration Error (ECE) measures the gap between predicted confidence levels and actual accuracy
Image: NASA, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons
Expected Calibration Error (ECE) measures the gap between predicted confidence levels and actual accuracy
calibration means: a model predicting 80% should be correct 80% of the time
How can we trust a coin flip to predict the weather?
Brier score
Brier score measures mean squared error of probability predictions
Binomial proportion confidence interval
Binomial proportion confidence interval estimates success probability
word error rate (WER) measures: edit distance between predicted and reference transcriptions
Ever wondered how machines understand speech as we do?
to normalize features: when features have different scales and you use distance-based methods
Why do some things need to be adjusted to compare fairly?
the condition number κ(A) measures: sensitivity of Ax=b to perturbations
How small changes affect big outcomes
Swipe through 100 ML concepts daily
Open Pocket Polymath